TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
SaD Esports and M80 compete in Map 1 of their VCL North America Stage 3 2026 Valorant match on July 10, 2026. The team that wins this opening map establishes early momentum in the series.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of Map 1 in the scheduled VCL North America: Stage 3 2026 Valorant match between SaD Esports and M80, originally set for July 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Whichever team wins the map triggers a Yes resolution for their corresponding market.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one derive prices from continuous trader activity and supply-demand dynamics. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced probability estimates because traders risk real capital on accuracy. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or late-breaking news faster in some cases. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers on the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade or the spread between pending orders. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens accordingly. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery, while lower volume can create wider gaps. Your entry and exit prices depend on the liquidity available at the moment you trade.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the Map 1 result is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result reported by the esports organization or league governing the competition. Resolution occurs after any official review period concludes and the result is confirmed. Traders holding positions will see their contracts settle based on which team won the map. The exact timing may shift slightly if the match is delayed or rescheduled.
Several factors can shift prices before this market closes. Team roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements affecting either squad could trigger repricing. Recent map-specific performance data, head-to-head records on this particular map, and pre-match commentary from analysts may influence trader positioning. Odds on related markets, such as the overall series outcome, can cascade into this map-level contract. Live updates during the broadcast itself—early round outcomes, economy states, or momentum swings—will drive final adjustments as traders react to unfolding events.