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Sacramento State Hornets vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
kalshi
polymarket

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Volume:
$705,898

Northern Arizona

 - Kalshi

Northern Arizona - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Northern Arizona

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$7,975
$274,271
N/A
N/A
$196,894
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sacramento St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$6,300
$260,655
N/A
N/A
$198,363
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,824
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,136
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 155.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,618
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 154.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,187
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,207
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

A college basketball game between Sacramento State Hornets and Northern Arizona Lumberjacks scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread variations, and total points over/under.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Northern Arizona win or Sacramento State win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is logically broken and cannot distinguish between outcomes. Focus on Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets, which all have clear binary resolution paths based on final score including overtime.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Northern Arizona wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Sacramento St. wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology with no path to No resolution. The market is unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Sacramento State Hornets' if Sacramento State wins, or 'Northern Arizona Lumberjacks' if Northern Arizona wins. Spread markets (-1.5 and -2.5) resolve based on point differential. Totals (155.5 and 154.5) resolve based on combined score. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.