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Sacramento State Hornets vs. Montana State Bobcats
polymarket
kalshi

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Montana State Bobcats

Volume:
$141,964

Montana St.

 - Kalshi

Montana St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montana St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,118
N/A
N/A
$38,528
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sacramento St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,879
N/A
N/A
$59,947
Settled
No
polymarket

Sacramento State Hornets vs. Montana State Bobcats

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 157.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 158.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A college basketball matchup between Sacramento State Hornets and Montana State Bobcats scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -8.5 and -9.5, and over/under totals at 157.5 and 158.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Sacramento State win and Montana State win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary outcome.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline in its current form. The Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are logically sound and use consistent NCAA.com sourcing with clear overtime inclusion and cancellation provisions (50-50 split). Request Kalshi clarification on whether one team should resolve to No, or if this is a documentation error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name of winner (Sacramento State Hornets or Montana State Bobcats). Spreads resolve based on margin: -9.5 requires 10+ point win for Montana State; -8.5 requires 9+ point win. Over/unders at 157.5 and 158.5 resolve based on combined score. All include postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Source: NCAA.com. Final score includes overtime periods.
  • Kalshi: Moneyline states: 'If Montana St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Sacramento St. wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a binary Yes/No market, creating a logical impossibility. No edge case or cancellation language provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.