TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Idaho State Bengals (W)
Volume:
$745,035
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Sacramento State Hornets and Idaho State Bengals scheduled for March 9, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution logic collapses both outcomes to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable and contradicting the event group's categorical nature. Polymarket provides proper categorical resolution with cancellation provisions.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written. Treat Polymarket as the authoritative source. Avoid Kalshi until clarification is provided by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary collapse error: Both Idaho St. win and Sacramento St. win resolve to Yes, eliminating any meaningful distinction between outcomes. This violates basic market logic for a head-to-head matchup.
- Polymarket: Proper categorical resolution: Resolves to team name of winner (Sacramento State Hornets or Idaho State Bengals). Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Source: NCAA.org.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.