TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising soccer match. Different markets cover various winning margins for each team, determining if one team wins by a specific number of goals or more.
This event assesses whether Sacramento Republic or Phoenix Rising wins the match by exceeding certain goal margins. The first two markets resolve to 'Yes' if Sacramento Republic wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two markets resolve to 'Yes' if Phoenix Rising wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively. All resolutions are based on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. Each market is evaluated independently, and the outcome depends solely on the winning margin within regulation time.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and event-specific insights. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile pricing depending on new information, injuries, or tactical changes affecting the teams.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects how participants assess the likely point differential when Sacramento Republic faces Phoenix Rising. Volume of $2,763 shows overall interest, while recent $2,760 indicates current momentum. Traders can influence the price through ongoing bets up until Aug 23, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match score, which will decide whether Phoenix Rising meets the spread condition or not.
Injuries, weather conditions, and coaching strategies may shift expectations for team performance before Aug 23, 2026. Key matches involving either team could also affect perceptions of offensive and defensive capabilities. Media narratives and betting trends on Kalshi often respond quickly to breaking news, potentially altering this market’s odds as the game approaches.