TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sacramento Republic and Detroit City FC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City FC USL Championship match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered based on the winning margin: Sacramento Republic winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sacramento Republic winning by more than 1.5 goals, Detroit City FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Detroit City FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds can differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of traders and bettors. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while on Kalshi, participants are directly incentivized to forecast the most likely outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and often influence initial trading activity in this market. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team strength, injuries, or other factors impacting the USL Championship final.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes for the USL Championship final. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Currently, the volume for this market is $3,071 with $2,013 traded in the last 24 hours, indicating the level of interest and activity surrounding this event.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the USL Championship final between Sacramento Republic and Detroit City FC, as reported by official sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions matched the actual spread. It’s important to monitor news leading up to the resolution date, as any changes to the game’s status could impact the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Sacramento Republic or Detroit City FC could cause price movements. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi itself can shift the price, as the market reacts to new information or changes in sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.