TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:07 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00 PM ET.
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing levels of information available to each.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading, and the volume traded indicates the level of conviction behind those beliefs. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of probabilities as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sacramento Republic FC vs. Detroit City FC match in the US Open Cup. The final score and official match results will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reported, and the platform reflects the verified outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by news coverage or social media discussions, could influence trading activity. Finally, any in-match events, such as early goals or red cards, could cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding situation.