TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 178M
- Kalshi
Above 178M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 20, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 20, 2:21 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks Sabrina Carpenter's worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 12–18, 2026. Streaming data is sourced from Luminate Data, LLC and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Sabrina Carpenter's total worldwide streams during the June 12–18, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution occurring when the artist's streams exceed the designated level. Data publication occurs approximately 48 hours after the tracking week concludes. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse, verify, or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money stakes and continuous price discovery rather than static published opinions. On this market, traders incorporate breaking news, social media signals, and historical patterns faster than formal analyst reports typically update. The crowd-sourced nature of pricing can reveal gaps between expert consensus and market participants' actual beliefs about streaming frequency. Comparing the implied odds here to published industry commentary can highlight where professional forecasters and active traders disagree most sharply.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, with the spread reflecting real-time supply and demand for each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can enter limit orders to lock in their view of streaming frequency odds, and the platform matches them continuously throughout the trading window. Prices move as new information arrives or as large positions shift, ensuring the market reflects the latest collective assessment of weekly streaming activity.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the streaming frequency data becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on documented evidence of actual weekly stream counts during the relevant period, assessed against the specific thresholds defined for each outcome option. Traders should monitor official announcements and platform records as the deadline approaches to understand how the final tally will be determined and verified.
Key catalysts include official announcements about streaming schedules, changes to platform partnerships, or shifts in the artist's touring and promotional calendar. Social media updates, fan engagement metrics, and industry news about content production timelines can all influence trader expectations. Unexpected schedule changes, health or personal announcements, or major platform policy shifts could trigger sharp repricing. Early streaming activity in the forecast window often sets momentum, so initial weeks tend to be especially volatile as traders calibrate their models against real-world data.
