TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 200,603,368
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 200,603,368 - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: May 30, 4:51 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Sabrina Carpenter will accumulate more than 200,603,368 worldwide streams on Luminate during the week of May 22–28, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific tracking week, with results expected by June 1, 2026. Watch for any new music releases or promotional activity from Carpenter during the May 22–28 window, as these would be the primary drivers of streaming volume during that period.
Frequently asked questions
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for Sabrina Carpenter during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking period. The outcome hinges on whether her total streams during that week exceed the 200,603,368 threshold. Luminate, the industry-standard music analytics platform, provides the authoritative stream count used to settle the contract. Traders should monitor Sabrina Carpenter's release schedule, tour activity, and promotional efforts during the tracking week, as these factors directly influence streaming volume.
Key catalysts include new music releases or singles dropped during May 22–28, 2026, which would drive streaming volume upward. Tour announcements, festival appearances, or high-profile media appearances during that week could boost listener engagement. Conversely, competing releases from other major artists or reduced promotional activity could suppress streams. Playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or other platforms feeding into Luminate data matter significantly. Social media trends, TikTok virality, and fan engagement levels also influence streaming velocity. Real-time Luminate data leaks or unofficial stream counts shared by industry insiders may shift market prices as resolution approaches.
