TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 170,420,537
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 170,420,537 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Closed: Jul 4, 2:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks whether Sabrina Carpenter's music receives above 170.42 million worldwide streams during the week of June 26 - July 02, 2026. Stream counts are measured by Luminate Data and reported approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
If Sabrina Carpenter has above 170,420,537 Worldwide Streams during the June 26 - July 02, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from many participants, often reflecting faster-moving sentiment than traditional analyst reports. While entertainment analysts may rely on historical streaming patterns or artist schedules, this market prices in live updates and community expectations. The two approaches can diverge when breaking news or surprise announcements shift trader conviction faster than formal forecasts update. Comparing the current odds here to public analyst commentary on Sabrina Carpenter's streaming likelihood can reveal where the crowd sees edge or surprise value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and the spread between buy and sell orders at that moment. As new information emerges—such as official announcements or schedule changes—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds up or down. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether a confirmed stream from Sabrina Carpenter occurs during the specified week. Once the deadline passes, the market settles based on evidence from official sources, platform announcements, or widely documented reports of the broadcast.
Key catalysts include official announcements from Sabrina Carpenter's social media or management, tour schedule updates, or surprise stream notifications. Album releases, award show appearances, or collaborations might increase the likelihood of a broadcast. Conversely, tour dates, studio sessions, or public statements ruling out streaming this week could shift odds lower. Real-time engagement metrics and fan speculation on social platforms often precede formal announcements, giving traders early signals to adjust positions.
