TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Goal Diff Reg Time: Sabah Masazir wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Goal Diff Reg Time: Sabah Masazir wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 21, 2026
Closed: Jul 21, 2:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the goal differential during regulation time of a Champions League match between Sabah Masazir and Kuopion Palloseura on July 21, 2026. Bettors predict whether one team will win by more than a specified margin during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the goal differential in regulation time of the Sabah Masazir vs Kuopion Palloseura Champions League match scheduled for July 21, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. If Sabah Masazir wins by more than 2.5 goals, that outcome resolves to Yes. If Sabah Masazir wins by more than 1.5 goals, that outcome resolves to Yes. If Kuopion Palloseura wins by more than 1.5 goals, that outcome resolves to Yes. If Kuopion Palloseura wins by more than 2.5 goals, that outcome resolves to Yes. Each threshold outcome is independent and resolves separately based on the final goal differential.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on oddsmakers' models and aim to balance action on both sides; prediction markets instead aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds represent what traders collectively believe will happen, which can differ meaningfully from sportsbook spreads. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional traders see value that traditional bookmakers have mispriced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the most recent matched trades and pending orders. As traders update their views based on team news, injury reports, or recent form, the price adjusts in real time. Prices range from near zero to near 100, with higher prices indicating stronger trader conviction in that outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match concludes and the final goal differential is verified. The outcome is determined by the goal margin during regulation time only, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Resolution occurs after the result is confirmed through credible public reporting of the final score. Traders should monitor official match reporting to understand when the market will settle.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that alter expected goal output. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all influence trader sentiment. Betting market movement and expert predictions may also shift odds as the event approaches. Social media sentiment and any late-breaking developments in the hours before kickoff could trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess probabilities.