TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 3:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF match in the UEFA Champions League will end in a second-half draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a second-half draw stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless, with resolution based on official UEFA Champions League match statistics. The critical catalyst to monitor is the match itself, scheduled for August 2026, which will determine the final outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Sabah FK and Aarhus GF, scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sabah FK" if Sabah FK score more goals than Aarhus GF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sabah FK and Aarhus GF score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF score more goals than Sabah FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event resolves based on the result of the Aarhus vs Sabah Masazir professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Aarhus, a win for Sabah Masazir, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 4, 2026, 17:00 UTC. If the match is canceled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, this market will resolve based on the official data recorded at the time of cancellation. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than October 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Kalshi and Limitless, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader populations and may update odds on different timelines. Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might react faster to new coaching changes or player injuries, while the other could reflect broader, slower-moving betting trends. These differences often produce unique probability curves for each platform, even when tracking the same underlying event.
Injuries, tactical changes, or weather updates can all shift this market close to kickoff. Key moments like star-player status reports or last-minute lineup announcements often drive rapid price adjustments on both Kalshi and Limitless. Traders will also watch for any shift in momentum or betting volume that signals a new consensus — especially as the match draws nearer.