TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Germany's third-tier league. The result is determined solely by the standing after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides clarity on how tie outcomes and scheduling changes are handled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Saarbrucken, a win for Ingolstadt, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In cases where the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there’s significant public interest and trading volume. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Saarbrucken vs Ingolstadt match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes might also influence trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match can play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions. A significant upset in a similar match involving either team could also move this market.