TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 11:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Saarbrucken and Hertha, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regular time. It examines different thresholds for how many goals each team must win by to satisfy the conditions. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Saarbrucken vs Hertha DFB Pokal match scheduled for August 22, 2026, considering only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Saarbrucken must win by more than 2.5 goals, Saarbrucken must win by more than 1.5 goals, Hertha must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Hertha must win by more than 2.5 goals. Whichever condition is met—based on the final regular-time score—will resolve the event. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect what traders on Kalshi collectively believe about the likely score margin, often showing different implications than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and betting action, Kalshi prices emerge organically from trader activity, which can highlight sharp or contrarian views on team performance and match dynamics.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective assessment of Saarbrucken’s or Hertha’s likelihood to cover the spread. The market’s price adjusts instantly to new information, news, or betting trends, capturing the real-time expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the goal difference at the end of regulation time, and the market will close accordingly based on official match results.
Injuries, weather updates, and tactical changes can shift expectations for both teams and move this market. Key player availability, recent form, and any last-minute strategic adjustments may cause traders on Kalshi to reassess the probable score margin, especially as Aug 22, 2026 approaches. Media narratives and pre-match analysis often influence sentiment in the final days.