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Ryan Garcia vs. Conor Benn: Round of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Ryan Garcia vs. Conor Benn?

Volume:
$2,260,478

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 2

 - Kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 2 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 11:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 2

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$133,526
N/A
N/A
$92,493
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 1

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$217,454
N/A
N/A
$211,578
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 7

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204,827
N/A
N/A
$200,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 5

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199,661
N/A
N/A
$195,007
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 6

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$164,727
N/A
N/A
$163,009
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 8

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$161,450
N/A
N/A
$159,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 3

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$155,667
N/A
N/A
$153,216
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 9

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$133,934
N/A
N/A
$132,419
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 4

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105,822
N/A
N/A
$105,737
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86,231
N/A
N/A
$86,231
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 6

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$82,696
N/A
N/A
$81,663
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 10

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,677
N/A
N/A
$70,623
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 7

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,251
N/A
N/A
$60,969
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 5

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54,379
N/A
N/A
$52,392
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 12

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,966
N/A
N/A
$48,784
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 3

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,627
N/A
N/A
$49,604
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 8

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,180
N/A
N/A
$47,180
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,124
N/A
N/A
$46,030
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 9

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,051
N/A
N/A
$42,284
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 2

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,732
N/A
N/A
$39,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,569
N/A
N/A
$35,569
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 12

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,251
N/A
N/A
$35,157
Settled
No
kalshi

Conor Benn to win in Round 11

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,181
N/A
N/A
$35,181
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Garcia to win in Round 11

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,963
N/A
N/A
$33,933
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,532
N/A
N/A
$6,217
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks in which round Ryan Garcia will win his boxing fight against Conor Benn. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Ryan Garcia winning in Round 2. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Ryan Garcia vs. Conor Benn Boxing fight, as determined by a knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification in Round 12. Keep a close watch on the fight itself, as the market will resolve the day after the originally scheduled bout on September 12, 2026 – specifically on September 13, 2026 – to determine the winning round.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the round in which either Ryan Garcia or Conor Benn achieves a victory via knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification. If the fight concludes with a decision, draw, or no contest—including technical decisions—the market resolves to the designated outcome for that category. Each round from 1 to 12 has a specific market for each fighter winning by the aforementioned methods, with an additional market covering decision/draw/no contest outcomes. Technical decisions are explicitly treated as decisions and do not count toward round-specific victories. The fight is scheduled for September 12, 2026, and all outcomes are determined based on the official result of the full contest.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Garcia vs. Benn fight tracks the current odds, the price history of contracts representing different outcomes, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $2,067,657 and total volume for this market is $2,260,478. You can see how the perceived probability of each outcome shifts in real-time as traders buy and sell contracts. This provides a dynamic view of expectations surrounding the fight's result, all within Kalshi.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents what traders collectively believe will happen. As more information becomes available – such as training updates or pre-fight analysis – the odds on Kalshi may converge or diverge from sportsbook offerings, depending on how that information is interpreted by market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Garcia vs. Benn fight. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as assessed by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the fight gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation for each potential result.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant boxing authorities regarding the Garcia vs. Benn fight. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision, or by knockout/technical knockout, will determine the winning contract in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also have an impact. Publicly released analysis from boxing experts, shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, and even social media buzz surrounding the Garcia vs. Benn fight are all potential catalysts for price movement on Kalshi.