TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 2:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an international soccer qualifier between two national teams. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, without considering any extra periods or penalty shootouts. It provides a clear framework for determining a winner based on the match's immediate conclusion.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Rwanda vs Liberia professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026: a win for Rwanda, a win for Liberia, or a tie. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event operates independently of the official governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs, while sportsbooks need to account for profit margins and potential biases. However, initial sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they differ significantly from the opening prices on Kalshi. It’s always wise to compare both to get a comprehensive understanding of expectations for the Rwanda vs Liberia match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time prediction. The current market depth and order flow can be viewed directly on the Kalshi dashboard, offering insights into the forces driving price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rwanda vs Liberia match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team form, unexpected tactical decisions announced by the coaches, or even weather forecasts for the match location could all influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public perception of each team’s chances could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.