TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, resolving based on whether the team's actual score exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for each team in the Rutgers vs Boston College college football game scheduled for September 11, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more points than the stated threshold (e.g., Boston College over 9.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance risk and attract betting action. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different team total outcomes, leading to odds that can diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information sources, biases, or simply a different interpretation of available data. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market operates much like a stock exchange, with traders attempting to profit from correctly predicting the outcome and exploiting any perceived mispricings. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Rutgers and Boston College will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the specified thresholds. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rutgers or Boston College would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause rapid price fluctuations, especially if they signal a shift in market consensus regarding the likely team totals.