TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 10:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes during a college football game. Each market focuses on a specific minimum number of such scoring plays for either team. The outcomes depend solely on the official game statistics, with specific rules about what counts as a valid receiving touchdown.
These markets resolve based on the total number of receiving touchdowns scored by either Rutgers or Boston College in their college football game scheduled for September 11, 2026. A receiving touchdown is defined as a touchdown in which the player who catches the pass scores himself; touchdowns scored by other players after recovering a fumble by the intended receiver do not count, unless the receiver recovers their own fumble and scores. All receiving touchdowns, including those scored in overtime periods, count toward the totals. Successful two-point conversions—whether during regulation or overtime—do not count toward any market outcome. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within that 48-hour window, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. The price represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, a team scoring a touchdown. As more people buy contracts believing a touchdown will be scored, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding the outcome, offering a dynamic view of collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether either the Rutgers or Boston College team scores at least one touchdown during the game. The official game statistics will be used to determine if a touchdown was scored by either team, and this information will be publicly available through sports news outlets and official game records. The outcome will be determined by the official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. News regarding key player injuries for either Rutgers or Boston College would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could influence trader sentiment and therefore the price of contracts on Kalshi.