TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of a specific college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to trigger a 'Yes' outcome.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both teams in the third quarter exceed specified thresholds, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points. Only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may initially offer lines designed to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust the price based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks that could impact the outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the 3rd quarter total being over or under the specified number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter of the Rutgers vs Boston College game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the 3rd quarter total would be over or under the market's specified value. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on either the Rutgers or Boston College teams would be significant, as they could impact scoring potential. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game’s pace and scoring. Any late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching changes could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment.