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Closed: Sep 11, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Rutgers and Boston College. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that determines whether it resolves as 'Yes' or 'No', based solely on the scoring during that quarter.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Rutgers vs Boston College college football game scheduled for September 11, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if Boston College wins the third quarter by more than the stated margin (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), the corresponding 'Boston College wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Rutgers wins the third quarter by more than the stated margin (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the respective 'Rutgers wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you'll find that this market’s implied probabilities are quite close to those offered by major sportsbooks, but there can be divergences, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective expectations of traders regarding the game's outcome. The current price represents the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Rutgers vs Boston College game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout amounts on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to the game. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Rutgers or Boston College teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Even public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and social media discussions, can contribute to price fluctuations. Any late-breaking news or unexpected developments related to the game could cause substantial shifts in the market before Sep 12, 2026.