TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Belly Gang Kushington - WTF GOIN (Official Music Video) ft. 21 Savage
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. Each market corresponds to a different music video, and the outcome depends on the chart ranking of that video on the specified day.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. Only one video can occupy the #2 position, meaning only the market associated with that video will resolve to 'Yes,' while all others will resolve to 'No.' The resolution is based solely on YouTube's official chart data for the specified date, and no endorsement or affiliation with YouTube is implied through these markets.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this specific event. While analysts may offer opinions on which music video will perform best, this market allows traders to express their beliefs with real capital. The collective wisdom of the crowd often differs from individual expert opinions, sometimes anticipating outcomes that analysts miss. Examining the difference between these two viewpoints can offer valuable insights into the potential for unexpected results in the daily music video market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The current market depth and order book are visible on the Kalshi interface, providing transparency into the trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the YouTube video that achieves the highest ranking as the 'Runner-Up Daily Music Video' as determined by YouTube's official charts and publicly available data. The final outcome will be determined by publicly available data and not by any subjective judgment. The platform will verify the results against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 21, 2026. A major shift in public sentiment towards a particular artist or song, perhaps driven by social media trends or media coverage, could influence trading activity. Unexpected collaborations or promotional events related to the music videos could also impact the market. Furthermore, any news regarding the artists involved, such as album releases or tour announcements, might cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market.
