TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
AH HA
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AH HA - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Belly Gang Kushington - WTF GOIN (Official Music Video) ft. 21 Savage
Description
This event tracks which music video will secure the second position on YouTube's daily chart in the United States on a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity through real-time streaming data, showcasing trends in audience preferences for music content.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. Only one video can occupy the #2 position, meaning only one market will resolve to 'Yes,' while all others will resolve to 'No.' The resolution is based solely on YouTube's official chart ranking as published on the specified date. All markets explicitly state that YouTube has not endorsed these products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this specific event. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than individual analyst predictions. This can lead to differences in probabilities assigned to various outcomes. Examining these discrepancies can be insightful, as the collective wisdom of the crowd may identify factors that analysts have overlooked. It's important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses when assessing potential results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices adjust dynamically. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of buy and sell orders at various price levels, giving insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube view count for the Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on September 6, 2026. The platform will verify this information against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the final result will be determined.
Several signals could influence this market. Unexpected changes in the popularity of music videos on YouTube, or significant shifts in music trends, could all impact trader sentiment. Major announcements related to the featured artists or the music industry in general could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any news regarding YouTube's algorithms or promotional strategies might affect which videos gain traction. Monitoring these factors and tracking the 24-hour volume on Kalshi will be key to understanding potential market movements.
