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Vol.
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Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 5, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Belly Gang Kushington - WTF GOIN (Official Music Video) ft. 21 Savage
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. It focuses on measuring viewer engagement and popularity through YouTube's official metrics for that day.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. Only one video can occupy the #2 position on the chart, meaning only the market associated with that video will resolve to 'Yes,' while all others will resolve to 'No.' The resolution is based solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified date, and all markets share identical secondary disclaimers regarding lack of endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this specific event. The daily music video market relies on the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, representing a unique perspective on potential outcomes. While analysts might offer opinions based on chart performance or social media engagement, this market reflects real money being put behind predictions. Discrepancies between the two could highlight areas where the market anticipates shifts not yet recognized by conventional analysis, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at various price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome in the daily music video market.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which music video is identified as the runner-up in the daily music video chart on YouTube. The final result will be determined by the official YouTube rankings at the close of the specified period, and the outcome will be verified against credible public sources. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to understand the likely outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 19, 2026. Unexpected viral trends on social media platforms like TikTok or X (formerly Twitter) could rapidly increase the popularity of a particular music video, shifting trader sentiment. Major endorsements from influential figures or inclusion in popular playlists could also act as catalysts. Furthermore, any news or controversies surrounding the artists or videos themselves could impact their performance and, consequently, the market prices within this market. Monitoring these external factors will be crucial for informed trading.
