TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 28, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 27, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video secures the second position on YouTube's daily chart in the United States on a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos over a single day, offering insight into immediate public favor.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution date and chart, with each video representing an individual potential outcome. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, except in the event of a tie for the #2 position, which would result in multiple 'Yes' resolutions. No endorsement from YouTube is implied, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to external analyst forecasts, as comprehensive predictions for this specific event are limited. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual expert analyses. Examining how this market evolves leading up to Oct 11, 2026 will reveal if it aligns with or diverges from any available expert opinions regarding the likely outcome of the daily music video competition.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving prices higher and increased selling pressure driving them lower. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic odds that reflect new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve based on which music video receives the highest number of views on YouTube within 24 hours of its release date, as reported by YouTube analytics. The resolution will reflect the publicly available data at the time of settlement, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding the artists involved, such as album releases, tour announcements, or media appearances, could shift sentiment. Unexpected viral trends or challenges on social media platforms related to the featured music could also impact viewership. Furthermore, major events happening concurrently with the video release, potentially diverting audience attention, could play a role. Monitoring these factors leading up to Oct 11, 2026 will be crucial for understanding potential price movements within this market.
