TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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39%
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Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 26, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 24, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
BloodHound Q50 - My Girl (Official Music Video)
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. Each market corresponds to a different music video, and the outcome depends on YouTube's official chart ranking for that day.
Kalshi
The event consists of multiple markets, each tied to a specific music video's performance on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 24, 2026. For any given market to resolve as 'Yes,' the associated music video must rank exactly #2 on that day's chart. Each market operates independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified date, with no additional performance metrics or contextual factors considered.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predictions for specific daily chart rankings this far in advance are uncommon. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi often reflects insights not captured in conventional analysis. If analysts were to publish forecasts for this event, comparing their predictions to the implied probabilities within this market would be a valuable exercise to assess the relative accuracy of each approach. The market’s current pricing represents a distillation of diverse perspectives on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity. This creates a real-time probability estimate for the event.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether a music video ranks as the runner-up on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated September 24, 2026. The final ranking will be determined by YouTube’s official chart data, providing a transparent and objective basis for settlement. Traders should monitor news and chart updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed.
Several factors could significantly impact the pricing of this market. Major music releases from popular artists in the weeks leading up to September 24, 2026, would be a key catalyst. Unexpected viral trends on YouTube or other social media platforms could also shift attention and influence chart performance. Furthermore, any news or announcements related to the featured artists or their labels could move the market. Shifts in YouTube’s algorithm or chart methodology, though less predictable, could also play a role in determining the outcome of this market.
