TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Let’s Get Married
- Kalshi
Let’s Get Married - Kalshi
1W
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Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 22, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video secures the second position on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends in real-time. The outcome depends entirely on audience interaction metrics like views and likes on that day.
Kalshi
The event determines whether any of the specified music videos rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique music video, and resolution hinges solely on that video achieving the runner-up position for that date. All markets are independent, meaning the success of one does not affect others. YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement. The outcome is binary for each market—either the designated video is ranked #2 (resolving to Yes) or it is not (resolving to No).
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or expert predictions, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and responding more quickly to new developments. While analysts might focus on established trends, the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of many participants, leading to potentially more nuanced or contrarian views. It’s important to note that analyst forecasts are static, whereas this market continuously updates as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to expectations as new information emerges, making it a responsive indicator of potential outcomes for the daily music video market.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which music video is identified as the runner-up daily music video on YouTube as of that date. The platform will verify this information against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor the event closely as Oct 6, 2026 approaches to understand the potential implications for their positions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Unexpected changes in YouTube's algorithm, the release of highly anticipated music videos from major artists, or shifts in public opinion regarding popular music trends could all influence trading activity. Any news related to the featured artists or the YouTube platform itself could also impact the market. Furthermore, increased media coverage or viral social media discussions surrounding potential contenders could drive volume and volatility in this market as we approach Oct 6, 2026.
