TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 20, 2026
kalshi

Which video will be the USA YouTube runner-up?

Volume:
$25

Choosin' Texas

 - Kalshi

Choosin' Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Choosin' Texas

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
4d 12h 50m
Yes
kalshi

Joseph

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

Dai Dai

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

Janice STFU

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

Sunflower

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

Golden

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song)

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

AH HA

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

Triple 3

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

BloodHound Q50 - My Girl (Official Music Video)

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

WTF GOIN

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

Todo Lo Fue

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
kalshi

Dead Fresh

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 12h 50m
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks which music video secures the second position on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos on a prominent streaming platform.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if its designated music video ranks #2 on the YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 20, 2026. The competition involves multiple distinct music videos, each with its own market. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome for each market depends solely on the chart position of the specified video for the given date.

Frequently asked questions

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. While analysts may offer predictions based on historical data and industry trends, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. If analysts widely predict a certain video will rank highly, will that translate into a higher price in this market? Discrepancies can arise due to unforeseen events, viral trends, or simply differing interpretations of available data. Observing these differences can offer valuable insights into market sentiment.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the ranking of music videos on YouTube’s Daily Top Music Videos chart dated September 20, 2026, will determine the result. The market will settle based on the official chart data released by YouTube. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor news and chart updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential catalysts.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Unexpected viral trends, major artist announcements, or changes in YouTube’s algorithm could all impact the performance of music videos and, consequently, the market prices. A sudden surge in views for a particular video, driven by social media buzz, would likely increase its probability of ranking highly. Conversely, negative publicity or controversies surrounding an artist could decrease the likelihood of their video performing well. Monitoring music news and social media trends will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.