TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video secures the second position on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos on a prominent streaming platform.
Each market resolves to Yes if its designated music video ranks #2 on the YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 20, 2026. The competition involves multiple distinct music videos, each with its own market. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome for each market depends solely on the chart position of the specified video for the given date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the ranking of music videos on YouTube’s Daily Top Music Videos chart dated September 20, 2026, will determine the result. The market will settle based on the official chart data released by YouTube. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor news and chart updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential catalysts.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Unexpected viral trends, major artist announcements, or changes in YouTube’s algorithm could all impact the performance of music videos and, consequently, the market prices. A sudden surge in views for a particular video, driven by social media buzz, would likely increase its probability of ranking highly. Conversely, negative publicity or controversies surrounding an artist could decrease the likelihood of their video performing well. Monitoring music news and social media trends will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.