TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 3, 2026
Closed: Sep 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela
Description
This event tracks which music video secures the second position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos on a given day, offering insight into audience preferences and viral content performance.
Kalshi
The event determines the music video that achieves the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 2, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video ranks #2 on the chart for the specified date. All markets share the same resolution criteria, based solely on the final chart ranking, and none of the markets imply endorsement from YouTube. The outcome is binary for each market—either the stated video is ranked #2 (resolving to 'Yes') or it is not (resolving to 'No'). Disclaimers clarify that references to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not suggest any affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this specific event. Unlike polls or expert opinions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. While external forecasts may offer a baseline expectation, they often don't capture the nuanced factors considered by participants in this market. The dynamic nature of this market means odds can shift rapidly based on new information and changing perceptions, potentially diverging from static analyst predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. The current price reflects the probability of a particular outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving prices higher and increased selling pressure driving them lower. This creates a dynamic and responsive market where predictions are constantly refined as new information becomes available, making it a unique way to assess potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which music video was the 'Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA' on YouTube as of that date. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from YouTube, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders should monitor external sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential developments that could influence the final outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any unexpected changes in YouTube's algorithm, which influences video recommendations and visibility, could impact which videos gain traction. Major promotional campaigns by artists or record labels could also drive views and affect the rankings. Furthermore, unexpected viral trends or media coverage surrounding specific music videos could lead to a surge in popularity. Shifts in public sentiment or the release of highly anticipated music videos could also influence trading activity and move the odds in this market.
