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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 19, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 18, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
YFG Fatso - "Am I Wrong " [Official Music Video]
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. Participants speculate on the popularity and viewer engagement of various music videos to determine the likely runner-up for that day.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified music video ranks exactly #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for the date of September 18, 2026. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Each primary rule defines a unique condition based on the ranking of a specific music video. Secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets and that any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement by YouTube or Kalshi.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a unique perspective, potentially identifying factors that traditional analysts may overlook. While analysts might rely on established metrics and industry trends, the wisdom of the crowd reflected in this market incorporates a broader range of information and subjective assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, biases, or access to information, offering valuable insights into the potential range of outcomes for the daily music video's performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which music video received the most views on YouTube as a 'Runner-Up Daily Music Video' on September 18, 2026. The final result will be based on publicly available view counts, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official YouTube statistics and related news sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the potential outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Unexpected changes in YouTube’s algorithm, impacting video visibility, could shift expectations. Major marketing campaigns or promotional activities surrounding specific music videos could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any news or announcements related to the artists or labels involved might affect the perceived likelihood of their videos performing well. Shifts in popular music trends or viral challenges featuring certain songs could also create volatility in this market, as traders react to evolving public sentiment.
