TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 17, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 15, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs or artists will secure this ranking, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and resolution depends solely on that video's ranking. If the designated video ranks exactly #2 on the official YouTube chart for that date, the associated market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. All markets operate independently, with no cumulative or interdependent effects. References to YouTube are strictly descriptive and imply no endorsement or affiliation between YouTube and the event operator.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for this specific event, as comprehensive public forecasts for daily music video performance are limited. However, generally, prediction markets can offer a unique perspective compared to traditional polls or expert opinions. This is because markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs through financial stakes, potentially leading to more accurate predictions than those based solely on stated opinions. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders actively assessing the potential for different videos to achieve runner-up status.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific video, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome is not available, but traders are actively adjusting their positions based on new information and evolving expectations for the daily music video performance.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube statistics for the daily music video released on September 15, 2026, identifying the video that receives the second-highest number of views within a defined timeframe following its release. The final result will be determined by publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected promotional campaigns by artists or record labels could boost viewership for specific videos. Viral trends on social media platforms like TikTok or X (formerly Twitter) could also drive substantial traffic to particular music videos. Furthermore, critical reviews or endorsements from influential music critics or celebrities could influence public perception and viewing habits. Any significant news or events related to the artists featured in the videos could also impact their performance and, consequently, the trading activity in this market.
