TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 16, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Jhené Aiko - So Good feat. Kendrick Lamar (Official Audio)
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos on a given day, offering insight into audience preferences and viral content performance.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution date and chart, with each video being an independent candidate for the runner-up position. The markets are purely descriptive and do not imply any endorsement from YouTube, with all references to YouTube serving only to identify the chart source.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts, as reliable pre-event predictions for this type of entertainment event are scarce. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports. This can sometimes lead to odds that differ from initial expectations, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd'. Observing how this market evolves could offer insights into public sentiment and potential outcomes, which may or may not align with existing predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result. The current top outcome isn't clearly defined, but the market is actively responding to user activity and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube view count for the 'Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA' on September 14, 2026. The final price will reflect which outcome – the highest viewed music video – was most accurately predicted by traders on Kalshi. The platform will verify the data from official sources to determine the winning outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. A major announcement from YouTube regarding changes to its algorithm or video promotion policies could shift expectations. Unexpected viral trends or controversies surrounding artists or specific music videos could also drive trading activity. Furthermore, any news related to the production or release of highly anticipated music videos in the lead-up to September 14, 2026, could cause the odds to change. Monitoring music industry news and social media trends will be key to understanding potential market movements.
