TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Choosin' Texas
- Kalshi
Choosin' Texas - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 11, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos on a given day, offering insight into cultural and artistic preferences.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specified music video ranks exactly #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for September 10, 2026. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome for one does not affect the others. The resolution is based solely on YouTube's official chart data for that date, with no endorsement implied by YouTube. References to YouTube are used descriptively and do not suggest any affiliation or endorsement by YouTube or Kalshi.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as there is limited public polling data specifically addressing the likely runner-up daily music video on YouTube. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies between the market price and external opinions can present opportunities for informed traders, but it’s important to remember that this market reflects the collective judgment of participants on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and offers, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a fluid and efficient mechanism for aggregating information and forecasting the eventual result of the event.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the runner-up daily music video on YouTube as determined by views on September 10, 2026, will dictate the settlement. The platform will verify this information from publicly available data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor the official YouTube statistics to understand the likely resolution of this market as the event approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact the odds in this market. Unexpected viral trends, major artist announcements, or changes in YouTube’s algorithm could all shift public attention and influence video views. Positive or negative media coverage surrounding specific artists or music videos could also play a role. Furthermore, any unforeseen events impacting the music industry or YouTube itself could create volatility in this market. Monitoring music news, social media trends, and YouTube analytics will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.
