TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981
- Kalshi
The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 20, 2026
Closed: Oct 18, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981
Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest viewership position on YouTube's daily chart in the United States for a specific date. Participants speculate on whether particular videos will secure this ranking, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Oct 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. None of the markets or products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The outcome hinges solely on YouTube's official chart ranking for the specified date and category.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically predicting the runner-up position on YouTube’s Daily Top Music Videos chart for October 18, 2026. However, it's common to see prediction market odds diverge from initial public opinion or polls, as traders incorporate more information and nuanced perspectives into their assessments. This market reflects the collective wisdom of those actively researching and trading on this specific event, potentially offering a different perspective than broader public sentiment or preliminary estimates. It’s a forward-looking indicator based on informed speculation.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated October 18, 2026, identifying the video that ranks as the runner-up. The market will settle to 100 if the predicted video achieves that rank, and 0 otherwise. Traders should monitor official YouTube Charts releases for the final determination of the runner-up video.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected viral trends, major artist announcements, or the release of highly anticipated music videos in the weeks leading up to October 18, 2026, could all shift the odds. Positive or negative media coverage surrounding specific artists or songs could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any changes to YouTube’s charting algorithms or policies could have an effect. Monitoring music industry news, social media trends, and YouTube chart performance will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.
