TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest view count on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. Participants speculate on whether particular songs will secure this ranking, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets and that any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation. Only one video can occupy the #2 position on the specified date, meaning only the market linked to that video will resolve to 'Yes', with all others resolving to 'No'.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect real-time trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional polling or expert predictions. Where analysts might highlight historical trends or artist popularity, this market incorporates broader market dynamics and betting patterns. Traders may react faster to breaking news or social media trends, causing odds to shift independently of published forecasts. Monitoring both this market and analyst reports can give you a fuller picture of expectations for the Daily Music Video USA runner-up.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the Daily Music Video USA runner-up will settle all contracts, and the result will be final once reported by recognized entertainment news sources and the event organizers. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly confirmed result.