TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
In the United States, music videos are tracked for their popularity on YouTube, with one aiming to secure the second spot on the daily chart. This indicates strong but not quite leading appeal among American viewers for that day.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified music video ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Aug 6, 2026. These markets operate independently, and the secondary rules state that YouTube has not endorsed the markets, with any references being descriptive only.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market's odds reflect aggregated trader sentiment rather than expert predictions. Analysts might highlight past performance or promotional momentum, but traders on Kalshi price in real-time information including recent social media trends, viewership numbers, and industry buzz. The resulting probability can diverge noticeably from traditional forecasts, especially as new data emerges closer to the event date.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the runner-up following the Daily Music Video USA ceremony will determine the winning position. Traders can track news sources and broadcast coverage for early signals, but the final result hinges on publicly confirmed results.