TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video secures the second-highest position on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends in music video content over a single day, offering insight into immediate public favor without long-term impact.
The event determines whether any of the specified music videos rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different music video, and resolution depends solely on YouTube's official chart ranking for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets and that any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the market operator. The outcome for each market is binary—Yes if the named video ranks exactly #2, No otherwise—making this a multi-outcome race where only one video can satisfy the condition.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of expert opinion and crowd sentiment. Analysts may highlight specific artists based on recent performance or media buzz, while traders in this market incorporate those insights alongside real-time betting patterns. The gap between the two can signal where public enthusiasm diverges from critical assessment, offering a unique perspective on likely outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the Daily Music Video USA results will determine the winning and runner-up positions, and the market will close based on that data. Timing aligns with the broadcast and subsequent media confirmation.
Key signals include major music releases, award show performances, social media trends, and media coverage for competing artists. Any surge in public discussion or a high-profile endorsement could shift trader sentiment. As the August 5 date approaches, real-time updates from industry events or polling data may also cause noticeable price swings in this market.