TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific day. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos on a prominent streaming platform.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart ranking, with no endorsements implied by YouTube or affiliations between YouTube and the event organizer. All markets share the same chart date and ranking position requirement, ensuring consistent criteria across all outcomes.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of expert opinions and crowd sentiment. Analysts may favor established artists with strong promotional campaigns, while traders might price in darker horses if recent social media trends suggest rising popularity. The gap between analyst picks and market odds can reveal where public excitement diverges from industry expectations, making this market a useful barometer of real-time fan engagement.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the Daily Music Video USA runner-up for August 31, 2026 will settle all positions. Until then, traders can continue to speculate based on early indicators and evolving narratives surrounding artist performance and audience reception.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution. Major music releases, viral social media moments, award show nominations, and media coverage focusing on specific artists are key catalysts. Any surprise collaborations or controversies involving leading contenders might also cause rapid price changes. Additionally, betting trends and increased trading volume on Kalshi can amplify price swings as more participants place bets based on emerging news.