TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Within the United States, music video popularity can be influenced by local trends, artist fanbases, and cultural events. Identifying the second-most popular music video on a given day in the U.S. offers insight into the nation's current musical interests and preferences.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified music video ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Aug 29, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules stating that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube are descriptive only, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader sentiment about the likelihood of different artists claiming the runner-up position. Analyst forecasts often incorporate historical performance data and current chart trends, which can sometimes align closely with market odds or diverge significantly depending on recent media coverage and public buzz. The difference between analyst predictions and market odds may highlight areas where traders are either more optimistic or pessimistic than established industry experts. Monitoring shifts in either space can provide early warning signs of changing perceptions ahead of Sep 12, 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market through continuous trading, with prices adjusting in real time based on buying and selling activity. The current implied probability for each potential runner-up reflects the collective assessment of market participants about each artist's chances, influenced by recent YouTube performance metrics, social media engagement, and industry buzz. Volume of $16,950 and 24-hour volume of $6,934 indicate the level of interest and liquidity, while the top outcome shows which artist is currently favored to finish second.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official runner-up result from the Daily Music Video USA will be the final determinant, and the market will close accordingly.
Several key signals could shift odds in this market before Sep 12, 2026. Major developments such as high-profile music releases, award show nominations, viral social media moments, or significant changes in viewership trends on YouTube can rapidly alter perceptions of an artist's momentum. Additionally, competitive dynamics between leading contenders — especially any surprise collaborations or controversies — may cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities. Real-time updates from music industry analysts and shifts in streaming numbers will also play a crucial role in shaping market movements as the resolution date approaches.