TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. Each market represents a different music video, and the outcome depends on YouTube's official chart ranking for that day.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. The resolution is based solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data, with no endorsement or affiliation implied between YouTube and the market operators. All secondary rules clarify that references to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not suggest any formal partnership or endorsement.
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on surveys or qualitative judgments, prediction market odds reflect real-money bets and can shift rapidly with new information. This market’s current implied probability offers a dynamic, crowd-sourced view of expectations, often reacting faster to breaking news or performance trends than slower-moving expert predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official YouTube Daily Top Music Videos chart for August 26, 2026, will determine the runner-up, and the market will close based on that published ranking.
Key signals include early performance metrics from streaming platforms, social media buzz around competing songs, and any controversies or viral moments that could boost a track’s visibility. Major label promotions, chart history of competing artists, and audience fatigue with leading contenders could also shift trader sentiment and move this market closer to Sep 9, 2026.