TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity of music videos as measured by YouTube's real-time chart rankings.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and resolution depends on that video securing the #2 position on the specified chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation. The outcome is binary for each market—Yes if the named video ranks exactly #2, No otherwise—making this a straightforward verification of chart position against a predefined list of contenders.
Currently, this market’s odds reflect a trader-driven assessment of likely outcomes, which may diverge from or align with analyst forecasts. Analysts often weigh factors like artist momentum and video quality, while traders react to new data in real time. Comparing both can reveal market sentiment gaps or confirm consensus trends.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The official announcement of the runner-up from the Daily Music Video USA competition will settle all contracts, reflecting the actual result as reported by authoritative news outlets and the event organizers.
News about artist promotions, social media buzz, award nominations, or any controversy involving the competing artists could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Performance metrics such as view counts, engagement rates, and press coverage in the weeks leading up to August 25, 2026 will also influence odds, especially as the competition nears its conclusion.