TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity of music videos as measured by YouTube's real-time ranking system.
The event determines the music video that ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video secures the second position on the specified chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution condition based solely on YouTube's official chart ranking, with no additional performance metrics or criteria influencing the outcome. The secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Analyst forecasts for the Daily Music Video USA runner-up often differ from market odds. While analysts may highlight specific artists based on current trends, this market reflects trader sentiment and can shift rapidly with new releases or social media buzz. Analysts typically provide a more measured view based on historical data, whereas traders may react more impulsively to breaking news. Comparing both can give a fuller picture of expectations leading up to the final results.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement from YouTube and related media outlets will determine the final result. Traders should watch for live broadcasts and press releases following the ceremony, as these will confirm who finishes in the runner-up position for that day’s voting period.
Several signals could shift odds before resolution. Major music releases, social media trends, and public endorsements may sway trader sentiment. Controversies or last-minute changes in voting rules could also impact pricing. Additionally, early announcements from industry insiders or media speculation often cause rapid shifts in this market as traders adjust their positions based on new information.