TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video will secure the second position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date in 2026. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity as measured by YouTube's real-time data, offering insight into trending musical content.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specified music video ranks exactly #2 on the YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for the date of August 23, 2026. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome for one does not affect the others. None of the markets or associated products are endorsed by YouTube; references to YouTube are used descriptively and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer. The resolution is based solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified date.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking prices, creating a decentralized market where supply and demand determine the current implied probability for each possible runner-up. The market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to reward accurate forecasting, encouraging participation from both casual fans and professional analysts.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official YouTube Daily Music Video USA results for August 23, 2026, are verified against credible public sources. The runner-up will be determined by the platform’s announced rankings at that time, and the market will close based on that verified result.
Key signals include major label announcements about upcoming music releases, viral social media trends, and high-profile performance events leading up to August 23, 2026. Any last-minute collaborations or controversies involving the top contenders could also shift trader sentiment. Weekly view-count spikes on YouTube and media coverage volume are additional factors that often influence this market’s momentum in the final weeks.