TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video secures the second position on YouTube's daily chart in the United States for a specific date. Each market focuses on a different song or artist, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video and resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. The outcome hinges solely on YouTube's official chart ranking, with no consideration for ties, partial rankings, or other positions. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. References to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with the platform.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a blend of expert opinions and crowd-sourced speculation. Analysts may highlight artists with strong promotional campaigns or recent chart success, while traders on Kalshi price in real-time sentiment and betting patterns. Differences between the two can signal where public excitement diverges from critical acclaim, offering insight into crowd-driven preferences ahead of the final announcement.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the runner-up for the August 22, 2026, Daily Music Video USA will determine which contract’s probability reaches 100%, settling all open positions accordingly.
Key signals that could shift this market include major label releases, viral social media moments, award show performances, and media coverage highlighting certain artists. Any surprise collaborations or controversies involving leading contenders may also cause rapid price swings. Traders will watch industry news closely as these events approach, since each development can reshape the odds dramatically in the final weeks before resolution.