TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity of music videos as measured by YouTube's ranking system on that day.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's U.S. Daily Top Music Videos chart for August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. The resolution relies solely on YouTube Charts' published rankings, with no endorsement or affiliation implied between YouTube and the event operator. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that references to YouTube are purely descriptive and not indicative of endorsement or partnership.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of likely outcomes. Analysts may weigh factors like artist popularity and past performance, while traders react to breaking news and social media trends. The gap between the two can signal emerging shifts in public opinion before they appear in traditional commentary.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The runner-up will be determined by official YouTube announcements and widely covered entertainment news sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.