TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on the U.S. YouTube Charts for a specific day in 2026. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity through real-time chart rankings, offering insight into trending musical content.
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets and that any references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The resolution hinges solely on the chart position of each listed video, with no additional performance or contextual factors considered beyond the specified ranking.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of public sentiment and trader expectations. While analysts may weigh factors like artist popularity and recent performance trends, prediction market odds incorporate real-time betting activity. This can lead to differences when rapid changes occur in public opinion or when new information emerges that shifts trader confidence.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the Daily Music Video USA runner-up for August 19, 2026 will settle all positions, closing the market and determining final payouts based on the prices at which contracts were held.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution. Major music releases, award show nominations, social media trends, and media coverage for competing artists often influence trader sentiment. Any surprise performances or controversies involving leading contenders may also cause rapid price adjustments, especially as the August 19 date approaches and the final voting or judging period begins.