TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Similarly, on the same date, music videos will vie for the runner-up spot on YouTube's United States daily chart. Success hinges on American viewer preferences, with factors such as regional trends and cultural relevance influencing the ranking.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified music video ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Aug 18, 2026. These markets are also unofficial and unaffiliated with YouTube. All references to YouTube are descriptive only and do not suggest any endorsement or partnership with YouTube.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more nuanced or contrarian view, incorporating real-time betting activity and crowd-sourced insights. While analysts may highlight established artists or recent chart-toppers, traders on Kalshi can price in underdog possibilities or emerging trends that aren’t yet widely covered in traditional media.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement from YouTube or widely cited entertainment news sources will determine the final runner-up, closing all positions at that time.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles around Sep 1, 2026. Major developments in the Daily Music Video USA nominations or early voting results may sway trader sentiment, especially if frontrunners drop out or new contenders gain momentum. Media coverage highlighting specific artists or controversial judging decisions could also create volatility. Additionally, unexpected performance boosts from live events or social media trends might reshape odds. Traders will watch for any official updates from organizing bodies and real-time fan engagement metrics, all feeding into price adjustments on Kalshi as the resolution date approaches.