TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos chart in the United States for a specific date. Each market corresponds to a different music video, with the outcome determined by its ranking on the chart for that day.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution criteria, based solely on the chart position of the specified video. The secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube. The resolution hinges exclusively on the chart ranking, with no additional conditions or qualifications affecting the outcome.
While analyst forecasts may offer opinions based on current trends and artist popularity, this market’s odds reflect real-time trader bets, incorporating new data as it emerges. Prediction market prices often diverge from traditional polls or expert predictions, especially as events like award show nominations or viral moments shift expectations in the weeks before the final.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the Daily Music Video USA runner-up will determine the final result, closing all positions at that time.
Key signals that could shift odds include major music releases, award show nominations, social media trends, and any controversies involving leading artists. As the contest date approaches, any surge in fan engagement or media coverage for a specific contender may cause rapid price changes, especially with only weeks left until the final announcement.