TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 16, 2026
Closed: Aug 15, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Pooh Shiesty - Last Man Breathin [Official Audio]
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on the United States YouTube Charts for a specific day in 2026. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity as measured by YouTube's daily rankings, focusing solely on chart performance rather than broader market dynamics.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. The outcome is binary for each market—either the specified video is in the runner-up position or it is not. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The resolution hinges exclusively on YouTube's official chart data for the specified date, with no additional performance metrics or contextual factors influencing the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers agree on price. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all participants, updating instantly with each trade. Market depth and liquidity, represented by a volume of $6,400, help determine how smoothly prices adjust to new information. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures a broad range of opinions, often leading to rapid shifts as events unfold.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official runner-up result from the Daily Music Video USA ceremony on August 15, 2026, will determine the winning position. Traders will see the market settle based on this verified result, reflecting the definitive ranking as reported by authoritative entertainment news sources and the event organizers.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution. Major music releases, award show nominations, social media trends, and public statements from artists or industry insiders often influence trader sentiment. Coverage from entertainment news outlets, streaming platform performance, and any controversies surrounding the competing videos can also cause rapid price adjustments. As the August 15 date approaches, any last-minute announcements or performance boosts are likely to create noticeable movement in the market.
