TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on the U.S. YouTube Charts for a specific day. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity as measured by YouTube's daily rankings, offering insight into trending content without involving complex market mechanics.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event operator. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart ranking for the specified day, with no additional conditions or qualifications affecting the outcome.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of popular opinion and trader speculation. Analysts may focus on chart performance, artist promotion strategies, and historical trends, while traders price in real-time information and betting patterns. Differences between the two can highlight where public sentiment diverges from expert predictions, offering insight into potential market movements.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement of the Daily Music Video USA runner-up will settle all positions, reflecting the artist who finishes second in the contest on August 14, 2026. No further interpretation is needed beyond publicly available results.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before resolution. Major music releases, award show nominations, social media buzz, and media coverage for competing artists often influence trader sentiment. Any controversy or unexpected performance could also cause rapid changes. Keep an eye on promotional campaigns and public engagement metrics, as they frequently impact betting patterns leading up to the final determination.