TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Sunflower
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Closed: Aug 13, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio]
The Verity Band - Be My Friend (official song)
Pooh Shiesty - Still On Timing (feat. BIG30) [Official Audio]
Pooh Shiesty - Last Man Breathin [Official Audio]
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest view count on YouTube's U.S. daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends in the music video landscape, focusing on competitive performance rather than overall success metrics.
Kalshi
This event determines whether any of the listed music videos occupy the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific song or artist, with resolution contingent upon that entry ranking exactly #2 on the specified chart for that date. The outcome hinges solely on YouTube's official chart rankings, independent of any endorsement or affiliation with YouTube. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that references to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or partnership. The event captures competitive dynamics among music videos in real-time viewer engagement, spotlighting audience preferences through chart performance.
Frequently asked questions
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect real-time trader sentiment and betting patterns rather than expert predictions. While analysts might highlight expected chart-topping artists, this market prices in a broader range of possibilities, capturing crowd-sourced expectations about viewer engagement, social media trends, and surprise releases that could influence the final ranking.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set bids and asks that determine the current implied probability for each possible runner-up. The market price adjusts continuously based on trading volume and order book depth, reflecting aggregated trader expectations about which artist is most likely to secure the second position on the specified chart date.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official YouTube Daily Top Music Videos chart for August 13, 2026, will determine the runner-up, and the market settles based on that publicly available ranking.
Key signals include major music releases, viral social media trends, award show performances, or collaborations that boost an artist’s visibility in the weeks leading up to August 13, 2026. Any unexpected surge in streaming numbers or a highly publicized controversy involving top contenders could also shift trader sentiment and move this market significantly before it settles.
